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Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.2, P(A ∩ B) = 0.15 and P(A' ∩ B) = 0.6 - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 1 - 2010

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Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.2, P(A ∩ B) = 0.15 and P(A' ∩ B) = 0.6. (a) Complete this Venn diagram. (b) Find the probability that neither A nor B hap... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Two events A and B are such that P(A) = 0.2, P(A ∩ B) = 0.15 and P(A' ∩ B) = 0.6 - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 1 - 2010

Step 1

Complete this Venn diagram.

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Answer

To fill in the Venn diagram, first allocate the given probabilities:

  • The probability of event A, P(A)=0.2P(A) = 0.2.
  • The probability of the intersection of A and B, P(AB)=0.15P(A ∩ B) = 0.15.
  • The probability of event A not occurring and event B occurring, P(AB)=0.6P(A' ∩ B) = 0.6.

Next, we know:

  • From P(B)P(B), we have:
A:0.05 B:0.15 A’ ∩ B’:0.2\text{A} : 0.05\ \\ \text{B} : 0.15\ \\ \text{A' ∩ B'} : 0.2

Step 2

Find the probability that neither A nor B happens.

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Answer

To find the probability that neither A nor B happens, we denote this as P(AB)P(A' ∩ B'):

P(AB)=1(P(A)+P(B)P(AB))P(A' ∩ B') = 1 - (P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B))

Calculating this:

  • P(A)=0.2P(A) = 0.2, P(B)=0.75P(B) = 0.75, and P(AB)=0.15P(A ∩ B) = 0.15. Therefore:

P(AB)=1(0.2+0.750.15)=10.8=0.2P(A' ∩ B') = 1 - (0.2 + 0.75 - 0.15) = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2

Thus, the probability that neither A nor B happens is 0.2.

Step 3

Find the conditional probability P(A | B).

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Answer

The conditional probability P(AB)P(A | B) is calculated using:

P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A | B) = \frac{P(A ∩ B)}{P(B)}

From previous calculations, we have:

  • P(AB)=0.15P(A ∩ B) = 0.15
  • P(B)=0.75P(B) = 0.75

Thus:

P(AB)=0.150.75=0.2P(A | B) = \frac{0.15}{0.75} = 0.2

Therefore, the conditional probability P(AB)P(A | B) is 0.2.

Step 4

State whether A and B are independent events and justify your answer.

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Answer

Two events A and B are independent if and only if:

P(AB)=P(A)imesP(B)P(A ∩ B) = P(A) imes P(B)

We already have:

  • P(A)=0.2P(A) = 0.2,
  • P(B)=0.75P(B) = 0.75,
  • P(AB)=0.15P(A ∩ B) = 0.15.

Calculating P(A)imesP(B)P(A) imes P(B):

P(A)imesP(B)=0.2imes0.75=0.15P(A) imes P(B) = 0.2 imes 0.75 = 0.15

Since P(AB)=0.15=P(A)imesP(B)P(A ∩ B) = 0.15 = P(A) imes P(B), A and B are independent events.

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