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In a school all First Years sat a common maths exam - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 8 - 2021

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In a school all First Years sat a common maths exam. The results, in integer values, were normally distributed with a mean of 176 marks and a standard deviation of 3... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:In a school all First Years sat a common maths exam - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 8 - 2021

Step 1

Find the minimum mark needed on the exam to progress to the county stage.

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Answer

To find the minimum mark needed for the top 10% of students who are progressing, we need to find the z-score that corresponds to the 90th percentile.

Using the standard normal distribution, the z-score for the 90th percentile is approximately 1.28.

We can use the formula: x=extmean+(zimesextstandarddeviation)x = ext{mean} + (z imes ext{standard deviation})

Substituting in the values: x=176+(1.28imes36)=176+46.08=222.08x = 176 + (1.28 imes 36) = 176 + 46.08 = 222.08

Since marks are in integers, we round this to the next whole number. Thus, the minimum mark needed to progress is 223.

Step 2

Find the percentage of First Years who received the Certificate of Merit.

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Answer

To find the percentage of students who received the Certificate of Merit, we need to calculate the probability of students scoring between 165 and 210 marks.

First, we find the z-scores for both marks:

For 165 marks: z=165−17636=−1136≈−0.305z = \frac{165 - 176}{36} = \frac{-11}{36} \approx -0.305

For 210 marks: z=210−17636=3436≈0.944z = \frac{210 - 176}{36} = \frac{34}{36} \approx 0.944

Next, we look up these z-scores in a standard normal distribution table or use a calculator:

  • The probability for z=−0.305z = -0.305 is approximately 0.3803.
  • The probability for z=0.944z = 0.944 is approximately 0.8264.

Now, to find the percentage of students with marks between 165 and 210: P(165<x<210)=P(z<0.944)−P(z<−0.305)=0.8264−0.3803=0.4461P(165 < x < 210) = P(z < 0.944) - P(z < -0.305) = 0.8264 - 0.3803 = 0.4461

Thus, approximately 44.61% of First Years received the Certificate of Merit.

Step 3

Find the test statistic (the z-score) of this sample mean.

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Answer

To find the test statistic, we will calculate the z-score for the sample mean of 19.8 hours.

Using the formula: z=xˉ−μσnz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} Where:

  • xˉ=19.8\bar{x} = 19.8 (sample mean)
  • μ=21\mu = 21 (population mean)
  • σ=5.2\sigma = 5.2 (population standard deviation)
  • n=60n = 60 (sample size)

Now substituting the values: z=19.8−215.260≈−1.20.6722≈−1.787z = \frac{19.8 - 21}{\frac{5.2}{\sqrt{60}}} \approx \frac{-1.2}{0.6722} \approx -1.787

Thus, the test statistic (z-score) is approximately -1.787.

Step 4

Find the p-value of this test statistic.

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Answer

To find the p-value associated with the z-score of -1.787, we look it up in the z-table:

A z-score of -1.787 corresponds to a left-tailed probability of approximately 0.0372. Since we are performing a two-tailed test:

p=2imesP(Z<−1.787)=2imes0.0372=0.0744p = 2 imes P(Z < -1.787) = 2 imes 0.0372 = 0.0744

Since the p-value (0.0744) is greater than the significance level of 0.05, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Conclusion: There is not enough evidence to say that the claim in the news report is incorrect.

Step 5

What is the probability that the 4th key drawn is the first office key drawn?

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Answer

To find this probability, we use the concept of conditional probability. The first three keys drawn must be from the other categories (classroom or science).

The probability of drawing 3 non-office keys in succession is:

  • First draw: rac{18}{23} (18 non-office keys)
  • Second draw: rac{17}{22} (17 non-office keys left)
  • Third draw: rac{16}{21} (16 non-office keys left)
  • Fourth draw must be an office key: rac{5}{20} (5 office keys left)

Thus, the overall probability is: P=(1823)×(1722)×(1621)×(520)≈0.1152P = \left(\frac{18}{23}\right) \times \left(\frac{17}{22}\right) \times \left(\frac{16}{21}\right) \times \left(\frac{5}{20}\right) \approx 0.1152

Therefore, the probability that the 4th key drawn is the first office key drawn is approximately 0.1152.

Step 6

What is the probability that one drawn key is for a general classroom, one is for a science lab, and one is for an office?

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Answer

For this question, since we are drawing 3 keys without replacement, we will consider all the combinations:

  1. General Classroom, Science Lab, Office
  2. General Classroom, Office, Science Lab
  3. Science Lab, General Classroom, Office
  4. Science Lab, Office, General Classroom
  5. Office, General Classroom, Science Lab
  6. Office, Science Lab, General Classroom

The probability can thus be calculated as:

  • Total ways to draw 3 out of 23: (233)\binom{23}{3}
  • Total favorable outcomes for each arrangement:
    • Classroom (12): (121)\binom{12}{1}
    • Science Lab (6): (61)\binom{6}{1}
    • Office (5): (51)\binom{5}{1}

Now we calculate: P=3!×(121)×(61)×(51)(233)≈0.2033P = \frac{3! \times \binom{12}{1} \times \binom{6}{1} \times \binom{5}{1}}{\binom{23}{3}}\approx 0.2033

Therefore, the probability that one of them is for a general classroom, one is for a science lab, and one is for an office is approximately 0.2033.

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